Bowl predictions

Posted by lunarmotion at 11 December 2009

Category: Stats & Math

I have developed the following college football bowl predictions based on my model of college football rankings. A few things to note: the most lopsided matchup seems to be Nevada vs SMU. The best matchups seem to be Oklahoma vs Stanford and South Carolina vs Connecticut.

Fresno State Wyoming
63% 37%
   
UCF Rutgers
42% 58%
   
Southern Miss Mid Tenn St
48% 52%
   
Oregon State BYU
54% 46%
   
Utah California
54% 46%
   
Nevada SMU
72% 28%
   
Marshall Ohio
38% 62%
   
Pittsburgh North Carolina
55% 45%
   
Boston College USC
45% 55%
   
Kentucky Clemson
54% 46%
   
Texas A&M Georgia
41% 59%
   
Miami (FL) Wisconsin
55% 45%
   
Bowling Green Idaho
54% 46%
   
Arizona Nebraska
49% 51%
   
Houston Air Force
42% 58%
   
Oklahoma Stanford
50% 50%
   
Navy Missouri
42% 58%
   
Minnesota Iowa State
45% 55%
   
Virginia Tech Tennessee
59% 41%
   
Northwestern Auburn
51% 49%
   
West Virginia Florida State
65% 35%
   
Penn State Louisiana State
52% 48%
   
Ohio State Oregon
47% 53%
   
Florida Cincinnati
52% 48%
   
South Florida N Illinois
57% 43%
   
South Carolina Connecticut
50% 50%
   
Oklahoma State Mississippi
47% 53%
   
Arkansas East Carolina
58% 42%
   
Michigan State Texas Tech
34% 66%
   
Boise State TCU
42% 58%
   
Iowa Georgia Tech
44% 56%
   
C Michigan Troy
58% 42%
   
Texas Alabama
46% 54%