{"id":425,"date":"2026-06-11T16:55:32","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T00:55:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/?p=425"},"modified":"2026-06-11T17:00:33","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T01:00:33","slug":"world-cup-probabilities-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/?p=425","title":{"rendered":"World Cup Probabilities"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The World Cup started today. Here are my probabilities of all the first round matches. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table alignleft\"><table><thead><tr><th><\/th><th>Home<\/th><th><\/th><th><\/th><th>Away<\/th><th><\/th><th>Group<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>75%<\/td><td>Mexico<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>South Africa<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>59%<\/td><td>Korea<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Czechia<\/td><td>41%<\/td><td>A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69%<\/td><td>Canada<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Bosnia and Herzegovina<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>B<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>68%<\/td><td>USA<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Paraguay<\/td><td>32%<\/td><td>D<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>31%<\/td><td>Qatar<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Switzerland<\/td><td>69%<\/td><td>B<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>52%<\/td><td>Brazil<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Morocco<\/td><td>48%<\/td><td>C<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>33%<\/td><td>Haiti<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Scotland<\/td><td>67%<\/td><td>C<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>47%<\/td><td>Australia<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>T\u00fcrkiye<\/td><td>53%<\/td><td>D<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>84%<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Cura\u00e7ao<\/td><td>16%<\/td><td>E<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>59%<\/td><td>Netherlands<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Japan<\/td><td>41%<\/td><td>F<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>44%<\/td><td>C\u00f4te d&#8217;Ivoire<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Ecuador<\/td><td>56%<\/td><td>E<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>52%<\/td><td>Sweden<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Tunisia<\/td><td>48%<\/td><td>F<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>87%<\/td><td>Spain<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Cabo Verde<\/td><td>13%<\/td><td>H<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>66%<\/td><td>Belgium<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Egypt<\/td><td>34%<\/td><td>G<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>27%<\/td><td>Saudi Arabia<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Uruguay<\/td><td>73%<\/td><td>H<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>79%<\/td><td>IR Iran<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>New Zealand<\/td><td>21%<\/td><td>G<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>67%<\/td><td>France<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Senegal<\/td><td>33%<\/td><td>I<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>40%<\/td><td>Iraq<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Norway<\/td><td>60%<\/td><td>I<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>78%<\/td><td>Argentina<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Algeria<\/td><td>22%<\/td><td>J<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69%<\/td><td>Austria<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Jordan<\/td><td>31%<\/td><td>J<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>75%<\/td><td>Portugal<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Congo DR<\/td><td>25%<\/td><td>K<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>61%<\/td><td>England<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Croatia<\/td><td>39%<\/td><td>L<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>32%<\/td><td>Ghana<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Panama<\/td><td>68%<\/td><td>L<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>27%<\/td><td>Uzbekistan<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>Colombia<\/td><td>73%<\/td><td>K<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The World Cup started today. Here are my probabilities of all the first round matches. Home Away Group 75% Mexico 2 0 South Africa 25%&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"more-link-wrapper\"><a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/?p=425\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">World Cup Probabilities<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[19,18],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/425"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=425"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/425\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":428,"href":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/425\/revisions\/428"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=425"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=425"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lunarmotion.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=425"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}