NCAA Football Bowl Predictions

The following bowl predictions are based on John Schneider’s ranking system. Predictions are presented as probability of winning. The probability of a team winning a matchup is given to the side of the team.

The predictions are updated based on all FBS and FCS games played through December 11. The predictions also account for San Diego State, Hawaii, and SMU playing bowls games at home. (The home team wins 60% of the time.) If it weren’t for the home field advantage going to SMU, the SMU vs Army game would be as good of a matchup as the Oregon vs Auburn game.

Watch for an update on how well the predictions go.

  Matchup  
63% BYU UTEP 37%
54% Northern Illinois Fresno State 46%
52% Ohio Troy 48%
51% Southern Miss Louisville 49%
32% Utah Boise State 68%
45% Navy San Diego State 55%
32% Tulsa Hawaii 68%
46% Florida Intl. Toledo 54%
59% Air Force Georgia Tech 41%
55% West Virginia NC State 45%
62% Missouri Iowa 38%
32% East Carolina Maryland 68%
51% Illinois Baylor 49%
62% Oklahoma State Arizona 38%
41% Army SMU 59%
59% Kansas State Syracuse 41%
48% North Carolina Tennessee 52%
60% Nebraska Washington 40%
46% South Florida Clemson 54%
57% Notre Dame Miami (FL) 43%
51% Georgia UCF 49%
51% South Carolina Florida State 49%
44% Northwestern Texas Tech 56%
56% Florida Penn State 44%
57% Alabama Michigan State 43%
64% Mississippi State Michigan 36%
46% Wisconsin TCU 54%
31% Connecticut Oklahoma 69%
57% Stanford Virginia Tech 43%
52% Ohio State Arkansas 48%
39% Mid Tennessee Miami (OH) 61%
47% LSU Texas A&M 53%
58% Pittsburgh Kentucky 42%
65% Nevada Boston College 35%
51% Oregon Auburn 49%

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